Poll to Poll

 Ipsos Mori has today published its latest   Political Monitor. When it comes to voting intentions Labour now has a 25 point lead, with the party on 51%, trailed by the Conservatives on 26%. When it comes to satisfaction with the main party leaders, Keir Starmer has a net score of -3 with Rishi Sunak on -29. The Government as a whole has an abysmal net satisfaction rate of -62. According to the poll, 36% believe Keir Starmer has what it takes to be a good Prime Minster compared to 32% saying the same about Rishi Sunak and 24% saying Boris Johnson has what it takes. 44% of respondents said they felt they knew what Keir Starmer stood for compared to 40% who said the same about Rishi Sunak. Asked about how competent they found the current Government led by Rishi Sunak, 62% said they disagreed that it was competent, compared to just 20% believing it was. It gives the current Government a net competency score of -42. To put that in context, in August last year, in Boris J...

YouGov this week published its latest polling which continued to give Labour a healthy lead over the Conservatives. When it comes to headline voting intentions, it puts Labour on 48%, with the Conservatives trailing by 22 points on 26%. When it comes to who would make the best Prime Minister, 33% said Keir Starmer, compared to 24% who preferred Rishi Sunak. Looking at Brexit, 68% of those polled said the Government was handling it badly, with just 20% saying they feel the Government has handled well the UK’s departure from the EU.   Overall, 54% now believe that, with hindsight, it was wrong to leave the EU compared to 34% who continue to believe it was the right thing to do. Interestingly, among those who voted to leave in the Brexit referendum, around one in five (19%) now believe that it was wrong to leave. Deltapoll has also this week published its latest polling for the Mail on Sunday. On headline voting intentions it puts Labour on 44% with the Conservatives on 30...

YouGov’s first poll for 2023, published this week, will not have provided Downing Street with any reasons for cheer.   It finds that 60% of those questioned now have an unfavourable view of the Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak. In a sign that the PM’s honeymoon, if ever it existed, is well and truly over, YouGov notes that Sunak’s net favourability score “has fallen by 20 points from -9 on 24-25 October, when he accepted King Charles III's invitation to form a government, to -29 now.” YouGov goes on to say: “The popularity of Sunak among Conservative voters has also fallen during his time in office, with 41% having an unfavourable view of their party’s leader, up from 30% when he became prime minister back in October. Half (51%) continue to have a positive view of the PM. Sunak, however, isn’t as unpopular as his party among the British public with only 22% having a favourable opinion of the Conservatives compared to 67% who don’t, giving a net score of -45.” The Labour leader,...

Opinium has published its first polling in 2023 for The Observer this weekend with Labour continuing to have a healthy lead over the Conservatives. When it comes to headline voting intentions, Labour is on 45% with the Conservatives trailing on 29%. Asked who they feel would make the best Prime Minister, 29% of respondents said Keir Starmer, compared to 26% preferring Rishi Sunak. Overall, Rishi Sunak has a net approval rating of -14 compared to Keir Starmer on +3. When it comes to strike action on the railways, 46% of respondents said they opposed the strikes, compared to 38% who support them. That said the public still, according to the data, believe the RMT Union is responding best to the strikes. 24% said they approve of the union’s response compared to 17% saying they approve of the Government’s response and 18% approving of the way the Labour Party has responded to them. On the plus side for the Government, 34% blame the trade unions for the rail strikes compared to 27% wh...