Poll to Poll

Labour is leading in the 144 parliamentary constituencies likely to decide the next General Election according to new polling by Opinium for the UK 2040 Options project, overseen by the Nesta thinktank.   It questioned 4,000 voters living in key marginal constituencies. Outlining the methodology used the project notes: “At the next general election, Labour would need to win in an additional 124 parliamentary constituencies to achieve an overall majority. We polled the 124 constituencies that Labour came closest to winning (ie, where they were in second place) in the 2019 general election. We also polled the 100 constituencies most narrowly won by the Conservatives in 2019. There is a significant degree of overlap between these two groups of constituencies so the total number polled in our data is 144. We believe these 144 constituencies (126 of which were won by the Conservatives in 2019) are a good representation of the “battlegrounds”; these are the people and places most like...