Is Keir Starmer About to Have a Lot in Common with Stanley Baldwin?
In the midst of an election campaign, it can be difficult to avoid feeling overwhelmed by the sheer volume of polling data that gets published. So, cutting through the noise, barring some sort of miracle, Keir Starmer and the Labour Party will form the next government. The only question is how big the party’s majority will be. On that we have two mega MRP polls out today which help us to put the state of public opinion into some sort of historical context. More in Common’s poll for The News Agents Podcast puts Labour on 43% of the vote, winning 382 seats (up from 180 compared to 2019) in the House of Commons. Thie would be the most seats the party would have won since the 412 it secured at the 2001 election according to the House of Commons Library . The Conservatives meanwhile would win 28% of the vote, giving it 180 seats, down 185 compared to 2019, and the fewest seats it would have won since the 166 it bagged at the 2001 election. Overall, More in Common point to a...