Trump Does Poorly in Latest Poll

With Donald Trump having left hospital following his coronavirus diagnosis, his strategy ahead of the election now seems simple – to  argue that he has fought and beaten COVID-19, that the rest of the United States can do the same and that the economy can return to something approaching normal again. The question is will the public accept this narrative? Based on polling, the answer is not really.

According to a national poll for CNN by SSRS between 1st and 4th October, among likely voters, 57% said they plan to vote for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, with just 41% indicating that they will vote for Donald Trump and Mike Pence.

Asked about their views of Donald Trump, 39% said they had a favourable opinion of him, with 59% having an unfavourable opinion. When it comes to Joe Biden, 52% had a favourable opinion of him, compared to 42% who had an unfavourable opinion.

Asked about what issues were likely to be most important to them in determining their votes, among likely and registered voters, the top three issues were, in order, nominations to the Supreme Court, the COVID-19 outbreak and health care.

When asked though which candidate likely voters thought would handle various issues the best, Joe Biden beat Donald Trump across all the issues raised – the economy, responding to COVID-19, health care, racial inequality in the US, nominations to the Supreme Court and crime and safety. Among registered voters the picture is the same, with the exception of the economy where both candidates are tided on 49%.

Among both registered and likely voters again, Biden beats Trump on a range of characteristics including who most cares about them, who will unite the country, who has a clear plan for solving the country’s problems, who will keep Americans safe from harm and who is honest and trustworthy.

With President Trump having been ambiguous about whether he would accept defeat at the election if it came to it, 86% of respondents to the poll agreed that the looser of the presidential election has an obligation to accept the results and concede, although 58% do not believe Donald Trump would accept the result if he lost.

Asked who they felt won last week’s scratchy presidential debate, 58% of likely voters said Biden, with just 27% saying Trump. Among registered voters the split was 57% saying Biden and 26% saying Trump did best.

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