Labour Closes Gap With Conservatives to 3 Points

Ipsos MORI has published its latest political monitor containing a wealth of information for political geeks.

1,090 British adults aged 18 or over were questioned between the 16th and 22nd April.  

The headline voting intention put the Conservative Party on 40%, Labour on 37%, the Liberal Democrats on 8%, the Green Party on 5% and other parties on 10%.

In respect of satisfaction, with a net score of -10, the Labour leader, Keir Starmer, had a lower rating than Boris Johnson (-6) and the Government as a whole (-7). The Chancellor, Rishi Sunak had a net rating of +31.

As the Prime Minister continues to face damaging headlines over allegations of sleaze on the back of Dominic Cummings’ blog last week in which he questioned both the Prime Minister’s competence and integrity the poll, which took place before it was published, showed that Boris Johnson had a problem going into it.

According to the poll, just 34% of those questioned said the Prime Minister was trustworthy, just ahead of Tony Blair (23% said he was trustworthy) and David Cameron (21% said he was trustworthy).

Theresa May performed best, with 50% trusting her, followed by the 48% who said the same about John Major and the 47% who trusted Gordon Brown. Overall, 42% said that Keir Starmer was trustworthy.

In respect of the economy, whilst 51% said they expected it to improve over the next 12 months, 36% said they expected it to get worse.

Meanwhile, in Scotland, a new Panelbase survey suggests that the SNP will come just short of securing an outright majority at the elections to Holyrood next week. The Herald in Scotland notes: “Based on their answers, the website predicted the next Scottish Parliament would be made up of 61 SNP MSPs (down two from 2016), 24 Conservatives (down seven), 20 Labour 20 (down four), 11 Greens 11 (an increase of five), eight for Alba 8 and five for the Liberal Democrats 5.”

The paper concludes that: “This means the 'supermajority' for independence sought by Mr Salmond would become a reality - but with the former First Minister having considerable influence in how any plans played out.”

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