Poll to Poll

In the wake of local elections in May and the party losing the Hartlepool Parliamentary by-election, there had been some chatter about a potential leadership challenge to Keir Starmer as Leader of the Labour Party. Just months later however, the most recent round of polls shows the gap between Labour and the Conservatives getting noticeable smaller. YouGov’s recent poll , carried out between the 20 th and 21 st July has the Conservatives on 38%, down six percentage points since its previous poll carried out between 15 th and 16 th July. Labour meanwhile were up three points to 34%. Survation last undertook a poll on voting intentions on 23 rd July which gives by far the smallest lead for the Conservatives showing them to be on 39% unchanged since its last poll between 19 th and 20 th July. Labour meanwhile were on 37%, up one point. Savanta ComRes last questioned the public on voting intentions between 23 rd and 25 th July. This put the Conservatives on 40%, down one...

  The Labour Party is basking in the glory of what many felt was an unlikely victory in the Batley and Spen by-election. The result   saw Labour’s majority slashed from the 3,525 it secured at the 2019 election to just 323, with Labour’s Kim Leadbetter winning 13,296 votes followed in second place by the Conservatives’ Ryan Stephenson with 12,973. George Galloway for the Workers Party, who had taunted Labour with the prospect of it coming third ironically enough came third himself with 8,264 votes. In terms of the share of the vote, Labour won 35.3%, well down on the 42.7% it won in 2019. The Conservatives also saw its share dip slightly to 34.4% compared to 36% in 2019. The BBC’s Political Correspondent, Iain Watson, has noted that there was a swing of 3% from Labour to Conservatives in the by-election which, if reproduced across the country at a general election, would see Labour lose 11 seats. Speaking to TalkRadio, the polling expert, Professor Sir John Curtice, ...