Labour Edge Into Lead in Latest Poll

IPSOS Mori has published its latest Political Monitor with some good news for the Labour Party.

On headline voting, it gives Labour a one point lead as it polls 36% of the vote with the Conservatives on 35%. According to Mike Smithson from Political Betting, number crunching by Electoral Calculus suggests that if such results were replicated universally at a general election, the Conservatives would lose 86 seats, with the Labour Party having just one seat less than the Conservatives.

The data from Ipsos suggests that Boris Johnson now has a net satisfaction rating of -27 with the Government as a whole on -33. Labour Leader, Sir Keir Starmer has a net rating of -21.

Asked about who has what it takes to be Prime Minister, whilst 34% agree that Boris Johnson has, 55% disagree, giving him a net rating of -21. In contrast, although fewer (25%) said Keir Starmer has what it takes to be Prime Minister, 41% say he does not, giving him a better net rating of -16. In contrast, whilst 29% said the Chancellor, Rishi Sunak had what it took to be Prime Minister, 38% disagreed with this, giving him a net rating of -9.

Meanwhile, Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest polling gives the Conservatives a lead of just 1 point. The headline voting data puts the Conservatives on 37% (down 3 points form last week) with Labour up 1 point on 36%.  

 

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