Poll to Poll

Voters believe that Labour would do a better job than the Conservatives when it comes to dealing with the cost of living crisis and efforts to level up the country. The new polling data published by YouGov finds that when asked who would be better at managing the cost of living, 38% said a Labour government led by Keir Starmer, with just 20% opting for a Conservative government led by Boris Johnson. Asked which government would be better at regenerating areas of the UK outside of London and the South East, 38% say a Labour government led by Keir Starmer with just 17% going for a Conservative government led by Boris Johnson. For voters across the North, 45% say Labour, with 13% saying the Conservatives. Meanwhile, YouGov’s latest polling on voting intentions gives Labour a six point lead, with it on 39% compared to the Conservatives on 33%. 35% say Keir Starmer would make the best Prime Minister compared to 26% who opt for Boris Johnson.

Opinium has published its latest fortnightly polling for The Observer. Amidst some reports that there are Labour figures jittery that it is perhaps not enjoying the kind of surge in support it might expect off the back of partygate, when it comes to headline voting intentions, Labour’s poll lead has been cut to just 2 points. Opinium puts Labour on 36% and the Conservatives on 34%. When it comes to approval ratings, Boris Johnson has an approval rating of 26% with 59% disapproving of the job he is doing as Prime Minister. When it comes to the Chancellor, Rishi Sunak, whilst 26% approve of the job he is doing, 50% say they disapprove. In contrast, 29% approve of the job the Labour Leader, Sir Keir Starmer, is doing with 35% disapproving. Asked who they feel would be the best Prime Minister, again things are becoming tighter, with 27% saying Boris Johnson compared to 28% who opt for Keir Starmer. Forced to choose which type of Government they would prefer between the Conservat...

New polling by YouGov for The Times suggests that 78% of the public believe that Boris Johnson has lied in his response to the issue of parties being held at Downing Street during lockdown. Among those who plan to vote Conservative, 51% say that the Prime Minister has lied, whilst among those who voted Conservative at the 2019 General Election, 61% believe he has lied. With local elections due at the start of next month meanwhile, Ipsos Mori has published interesting polling suggesting that 30% of voters believe their local councillors tell the truth either all or most of the time. This is followed by the 29% who said the same about their own local MP and 28% saying that local councillors ‘in general’ tell the truth all or most of the time. In contrast, just 20% believe that MPs ‘in general’ tell the truth all or most of the time.  

As Boris Johnson marks his 1000 th day as Prime Minister, Redfield and Wilton Strategies has published its latest weekly poll . When it comes to headline voting intentions, Labour retains an 8-percentage point lead on 42%, unchanged from last week. The Conservatives are also unchanged on 34%. Asked which issues they consider to be most likely to determine how they will vote at the next election, healthcare and the economy are tied at the top, with 55% of respondents saying they would be most important. Redfield and Wilton go on to note: “For the first time since 21 February, before the invasion of Ukraine, a plurality (28%, up 3%) of respondents believe a Labour Party majority would be the most likely outcome if a General Election were held in the next six months.” The Government’s net competency rating now stands at -30%, down 5 points since last week.   Boris Johnson’s personal net approval rating is now -21%, up 2 points. The Chancellor, Rishi Sunak has a net rating of ...

With the dust settling on the first round of voting in the French presidential election, what do the results tell us? Despite accusations of being somewhat aloof and arrogant, President Emmanuel Macron has seen his share of the vote increase from 2017 from 24.01% to 27.8%. The extreme ends of French politics are getting stronger with the far-right candidate, Marine Le Pen, the far left’s Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Eric Zemmour another far right candidate all coming second, third and fourth respectively in the first round of voting. Both Le Pen and Mélenchon saw their vote share increase compared to the first round of voting in 2017. The fall of the once leading parties in France is all but complete with the Republican party’s candidate, Valérie Pécresse and Socialist party candidate, Anne Hidalgo securing a combined share of the vote of less than 7%. France will now see two weeks of frantic campaigning between Macron and Le Pen ahead of the second and final round of voting on 24 ...

Opinium has published its latest fortnightly polling for The Observer. When it comes to headline voting intentions Labour are now on 38%, with the Conservatives trailing on 34%. In respect of approval ratings for leading politicians, 53% disapprove of the job that Boris Johnson is doing as Prime Minister, compared to 27% who approve. When it comes to Keir Starmer, 34% disapprove of the job he is doing as Leader of the Opposition, compared to 27% who approve. In a continued sign of the way that the Chancellor’s stock has fallen, 43% disapprove of the way that Rishi Sunak is performing, compared to 28% who approve. In a further blow to the Conservatives’ reputation as a low tax party, 63% of respondents to the poll say that current levels of tax in the UK are too high. Meanwhile, with the Government having published this week its energy security strategy, amidst an ongoing debate within the Conservative Party about the role that should be played by onshore wind farms, 78% of res...

Not that long ago the Chancellor, Rishi Sunak, was seen as the King in waiting, ready to take over the keys to Number 10 having seen his popularity build during the pandemic off the back of initiatives such as furlough. New polling however demonstrates the extent to which that has gone out the window. Following a Spring Statement that landed badly in the press and among the public, polling by YouGov   suggests that 57% of those polled between the 4 th and 5 th April have an unfavourable opinion of the Chancellor, compared with 28% who see him in a positive light. It gives him a net favourability score of -29, compared to -15 in YouGov’s last survey of this kind between 23 rd – 24 th March. Meanwhile, Ipsos Mori has similar grim news for the Chancellor, giving him a net favourability rating of -18, the lowest ever recorded by the company.   When asked whether things in Britain were heading in the right or wrong direction, Ipsos Mori has found that 21% believe thin...