Boris’ First 1000 Days – What The Polls Now Say

As Boris Johnson marks his 1000th day as Prime Minister, Redfield and Wilton Strategies has published its latest weekly poll.

When it comes to headline voting intentions, Labour retains an 8-percentage point lead on 42%, unchanged from last week. The Conservatives are also unchanged on 34%.

Asked which issues they consider to be most likely to determine how they will vote at the next election, healthcare and the economy are tied at the top, with 55% of respondents saying they would be most important.

Redfield and Wilton go on to note: “For the first time since 21 February, before the invasion of Ukraine, a plurality (28%, up 3%) of respondents believe a Labour Party majority would be the most likely outcome if a General Election were held in the next six months.”

The Government’s net competency rating now stands at -30%, down 5 points since last week.  Boris Johnson’s personal net approval rating is now -21%, up 2 points. The Chancellor, Rishi Sunak has a net rating of -18%. In contrast, the Labour Leader, Keir Starmer, has a net approval rating of -5%.

Asked who would be the better Prime Minister at the moment, 39% say Keir Starmer with 33% opting for Boris Johnson.

In an analysis which will add considerable cheer at Labour HQ, Redfield and Wilton continues: “In a contest between the Chancellor of the Exchequer and the current Prime Minister, 22% say Rishi Sunak (down 6%) and 35% say Boris Johnson (up 3%) would be the better Prime Minister for the UK at this moment, while a further 42% say they don’t know (up 3%).

“Keir Starmer is now significantly ahead of Rishi Sunak on who would be the better Prime Minister at this moment. Between Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer, 28% think Sunak would be the better Prime Minister for the United Kingdom (down 5%), against 41% who think Starmer would be (up 3%).”

DeltaPoll’s latest findings for the Mail on Sunday meanwhile gives Labour an 11 point lead, with the headline voting intentions putting the party on 43% compared to the Conservatives on 32%. In seats the Conservatives gained at the 2019 General Election, Labour has a much bigger lead as it polls on 51%, compared to the Conservatives on 30%.

Over at YouGov, its latest poll for The Times puts Labour on 38%, with the Conservatives behind on 33%.  

Across the Channel meanwhile, with a week to go until the French Presidential election run-off between the incumbent, Emmanuel Macron and the far right leader, Marine Le Pen, the latest poll gives Macron a commanding 10 point lead.  

The survey by Ipsos-Sopra Steria puts Macron on 55.5%, with Le Pen on 44.5%.

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