Labour Enjoy 19 Point Poll Lead as Conservatives Gather in Birmingham

With perfect timing, as the Conservative Party begins its annual conference in Birmingham today, Opinium has published it latest polling.

When it comes to headline voting intentions, it gives Labour a 19 point lead, putting the party on 46% of the vote, up 7 points compared to last week. In contrast, the Conservatives are down 7 points on 27% with the Liberal Democrats down 1 point on 9%.

For the Prime Minister, her net approval rating has plummeted from -9 last week to -37 now. Opinium notes: “This is worse than Boris Johnson’s last numbers on 22nd June (net -28), but slightly better than his worst score of net -42 on 12th Jan when the worst of the Partygate story broke out.”

35% say Keir Starmer would make the best Prime Minister compared to 18% opting for Liz Truss and 36% saying ‘none of these’. Interestingly, just 32% of those who voted Conservative in 2016 say Truss would make the best Prime Minister with 18% choosing Starmer and 40% saying ‘none of these’.

Opinium goes on to note that on the crucial issue of the economy, a Conservative lead of 1 point has transformed into a a Labour lead of 19 points on which party would be better at handling the economy.

The pollsters go on to note: “The Conservatives have lost a huge amount of their economic credibility. When we last asked this question on 9th Feb, the Conservatives led on ‘running the economy’ by 1 point, and led on bringing down the national debt and deficit by 4 points. Now Labour leads on both of these.”

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Buyers Regret Over Brexit?

This week marked five years since the UK voted to leave the European Union, a decision which has shaken British politics in a way that few would have foreseen. To mark the occasion, Savanta ComRes this week published polling suggesting that if the referendum were held today, remain would just win, with 51% of respondents saying they would vote to stay in the EU compared to 49% who would vote to leave. The poll shows that there would be little switching from either side, with 6% of those who voted remain in 2016 saying they would not vote to leave, and 7% of those who originally voted to leave saying they would now vote remain. Savanta ComRes go on to say: “That means the Remain edge in this poll comes from those who did not vote in 2016, with this group being more than twice as likely to vote for Remain (71%) than Leave (29%).” The poll found however that if the public were asked instead to choose between joining the EU or not, 51% would vote not to become a member, whilst 49% w...
Read more

Can Labour Look Forward to a Decade in Power?

Speaking at the start of the year the new Prime Minister, Sir Keir Starmer, spoke of a "decade of national renewal" being the "central, defining purpose" of a future Labour government. Fast forward to today, and for those now in Government the question will be whether the election results can give Labour any confidence at the prospect of a decade in power. Some might conclude that it is absurd to be asking this question, given Labour’s 172 seat majority in the Commons. That is just 7 short of the majority New Labour secured in 1997 which ushered in 13 years of Labour rule. However, dig deeper, and the reality is that Labour’s victory is thin. According to the election results Labour won on Thursday having secured around 9.7 million votes, equivalent to 33.7% of the votes cast. To set that into context, according to House of Commons Library data , that compares to the 13.5 million votes (43.2% vote share) Labour got in 1997. What is more, the total number of ...
Read more

Rishi’s Ratings Sink

Rishi Sunak has registered his weakest favourability ratings since becoming Prime Minister according to new polling by Ipsos Mori. It reports that whilst the Labour Leader, Keir Starmer, has a net favourability score of -7, Rishi Sunak’s has sunk to -19. With Boris Johnson continuing to breathe down Rishi Sunak’s neck, Ipsos goes on to note: “More than half of 2019 Conservative voters are favourable to Johnson (55%) while 49% say the same for Sunak. Overall, among 2019 Conservative voters, Johnson scores +29 while Sunak scores +23.   However, Johnson’s lead owes more to falling ratings for Mr Sunak rather than improving ratings for the former PM.” Looking at the parties as a whole, Labour has a net favourability rating of +2 with the Conservatives on -29. When it coms to Brexit, 55% of respondents told Ipsos that leaving the EU had had a negative impact on the country, with just 21% saying it had been positive. It continues: “If we subtract the proportion saying Brexit has...
Read more