Labour Continues to Lead in the Polls as MPs Return from Easter Break

As MPs return from their Easter break tomorrow, Opinium’s latest poll for The Observer gives Labour a 14 point lead over the Conservatives.

When it comes to headline voting intentions, 42% of those questioned said they would vote Labour, compared to 28% opting for the Conservatives.  

The poll gives Rishi Sunak a net approval rating of -12 with Keir Starmer on -3. Asked who they think would make the best Prime Minister, 27% said Sunak compared to 28% preferring Starmer.

Asked about which party would be best had handling various issues, Labour have a 1-point lead over the Conservatives when it comes to handling the economy and have bigger leads on most other issues. The Conservative’s biggest lead is on defence.

YouGov this week also published data giving Labour a 17 point lead with 44% saying they would vote for the party compared to 27% preferring the Conservatives. YouGov continues: “When it comes to which party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, Keir Starmer is favoured by 31% (+1 from 29-30 March) compared to Rishi Sunak's 26% (no change). Four in ten (40%) are unsure.”

Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest poll published earlier this week gives Labour a similarly healthy lead of 14 points. It finds that Labour is on 44% (down 1 point compared to the week before) with the Conservatives on 30% (up 2 points).

Redfield & Wilton goes on to note: “When those who say they do not know how they would vote in a General Election are included, the Labour Party leads by 12%. After weighting by likelihood to vote, 13% of the sample say they do not know how they would vote, including 11% of those who voted Conservative in December 2019 and 5% of those who voted Labour.

“Altogether, 87% of those who voted Labour in the last General Election say they would vote Labour again, while 62% of those who voted Conservative in 2019 say they would vote Conservative again.”

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