Public Back Starmer to be Change the Country Needs Says Poll

In his party conference speech the Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, sought to set himself up as the ‘change’ candidate, a difficult feat to say the least after 13 years of Conservative government.

The difficulty has been highlighted even more starkly thanks to Ipsos Mori’s latest Political Monitor.

It finds that among all voters, 40% say they trust Labour Leader, Keir Starmer, to deliver the “change that Britain needs” compared to just 26% saying the same about the Prime Minister.

When it comes to headline voting intentions, Labour, according to Ipsos has a 20-point lead, with it on 44% compared to the Conservatives on 24%.

In a sign of the mountain that the Government has to climb, the poll finds that 55% of those questioned expect the general economic condition of the country will get worse over the next 12 months, with just 21% saying they expect it to improve.

Opinium’s latest poll for The Observer puts Labour on 42% (down 2 points from a fortnight ago) with the Conservatives down 1 point on 27%.

Asked about the state of the economy, Opinium finds that 68% of those questioned said it was “bad” compared to just 8% saying it was good, demonstrating the extent of the challenge the Chancellor faces as he prepares to deliver his Autumn Statement towards the end of November.

YouGov meanwhile has published polling giving Labour a 24 point lead over the Conservatives. When it comes to headline voting intentions, Labour are on 48% with the Conservatives on 24%.

YouGov has also published some interesting data looking at how Labour voters think Keir Starmer has done in responding to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. It comes after he has faced criticism from within his party for failing to explicitly call for even a pause in hostilities to enable aid to reach the people of Gaza.

According to the data 42% of those who voted Labour in the 2019 election think that Keir Starmer has badly handled Labour’s response to the situation in Israel and Palestine, including 20% who say he has handled it “very badly”. In contrast, just 26% think he has handled it well. YouGov continues: “This is not enormously different from the wider public’s assessment of Starmer’s response: 42% of Britons say he has done badly, and 18% say he has done well.”

It goes on to say: “Rishi Sunak is equally likely to be seen by the public as having done a bad job managing the crisis, at 43%. More are likely to say that he has done well (27%) than Starmer – this is because Conservative voters tend to approve of their party leader’s approach, in contrast to Labour. That said, Sunak’s handling is even more unpopular with Labour voters than Starmer’s – 65% say he has done a bad job.

“The prime minister’s approach is clearly perceived as being more pro-Israel: 61% of Britons who say they sympathise more with the Israeli side think Sunak has handled the crisis well, while 81% of those who sympathise more with the Palestinians disagree.

“Starmer’s approach is criticised by both sides: 61% of pro-Palestinians say it has been bad, with pro-Israelis saying the same by 46% to 27%. The Labour leader suffers from partisanship in this regard – Conservatives voters tend to be more sympathetic to the Israeli side, and are not willing to give their rival party’s leader credit for his approach.”

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