Three More Positive Polls for Labour

With the Labour Party conference now formally underway, three new polls will be cheering the party faithful in Liverpool.

First there’s Opinium’s poll for The Observer giving Labour a 13-point lead over the Conservatives. When it comes to headline voting intentions Labour is on 42% (up 3 points from last week). The Conservatives meanwhile remained unchanged on 29%, suggesting they have had no post conference bounce.

Opinium continues to show that Keir Starmer not only has a higher approval rating than Rishi Sunak but 29% of those polled said a Labour majority government was now the most likely outcome following the general election, with 23% saying it would be a hung Parliament with Labour as the biggest single party. Just 10% thought the Conservatives would win a majority at the election, with 16% suggesting they would be the biggest party in a hung Parliament.

The second set of stats that will be putting smiles on the faces of those at conference is Deltapoll’s data for the Mail on Sunday. When it comes to headline voting intentions it puts Labour in the lead on 43%, way ahead of the Conservatives on 28%.  Importantly, it also points to Labour being more trusted on the economy than the Conservatives.

Finally, Labour will be in good sprits as a result of a Panelbase poll for The Sunday Times suggesting the Scottish Labour Leader, Anas Sarwar, is on course to become the next First Minister of Scotland.

Questioned how they would vote in the constituency vote for the next election to the Scottish Parliament, 35% of those polled said the SNP, compared to 32% saying Labour, with the Conservatives on 16% and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. The Greens are on 7%, with other parties on 3%.

When it comes to the proportional regional list vote for Holyrood, Labour is on 30%, the SNP on 29% and the Conservatives on 18%. The Greens and Liberal Democrats are on 12% and 8% respectively with the Alba Party led by Alex Salmond on just 3%.

If replicated at the next election to the Scottish Parliament, these results would give Scottish Labour 42 seats, followed by the SNP on 41, the Conservatives on 23, the Greens on 15 and the Liberal Democrats on 8 seats.

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