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Showing posts from April, 2023

SNP Losing Grip on Scotland as Wales Backs Labour By big Margins

As the SNP continues to feel the shocks of the ongoing scandal around the alleged mismanagement of the party’s finances, new polling of Scottish voters by YouGov suggests a slump in the party’s support at Holyrood. When it comes to headline voting intentions for the constituency vote for the Scottish Parliament, 38% say they would vote SNP, down from 43% last month. Scottish Labour meanwhile are on 30%, up from 26%. The Conservatives are on 16%, pretty much unchanged from the 15% it polled last month. For the regional list vote for the Scottish Parliament, YouGov finds that 26% of Scots voters would vote Labour, up from 25% last month, whilst the SNP are on 30%, down from 35%. The Scottish Conservatives are on 17%, up from 16% in March. When it comes to headline voting intentions for Westminster, Labour are on 28% with the SNP on 37% and the Conservatives on 17%. Asked how they would vote in a future independence referendum, 54% of those questioned said they would oppose indep...

Labour Continues to Lead in the Polls as MPs Return from Easter Break

As MPs return from their Easter break tomorrow, Opinium’s latest poll for The Observer gives Labour a 14 point lead over the Conservatives. When it comes to headline voting intentions, 42% of those questioned said they would vote Labour, compared to 28% opting for the Conservatives.   The poll gives Rishi Sunak a net approval rating of -12 with Keir Starmer on -3. Asked who they think would make the best Prime Minister, 27% said Sunak compared to 28% preferring Starmer. Asked about which party would be best had handling various issues, Labour have a 1-point lead over the Conservatives when it comes to handling the economy and have bigger leads on most other issues. The Conservative’s biggest lead is on defence. YouGov this week also published data giving Labour a 17 point lead with 44% saying they would vote for the party compared to 27% preferring the Conservatives. YouGov continues: “When it comes to which party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, K...

End of Political Term Report

As MPs head off for a two week Easter break and begin an intense period of campaigning ahead of the local elections, Opinium has published its latest fortnightly polling for The Observer providing a handy end of term report card. When it comes to headline voting intentions, Labour enjoy a 15-point lead over the Conservatives. Labour is on 44% compared to the Conservatives on 29%.   Asked to what extent they approved or disapproved of the way Rishi Sunak is handling his job as Prime Minister, 28% said ‘approve’ compared to 43% saying ‘disapprove’. In contrast, 31% of those questioned said they approved of the way Keir Starmer was handling his job as Leader of the Labour Party compared to 33% saying their disapproved. Questioned about what they felt the likely outcome would be of the next General Election, just 8% think it will result in an outright Conservative majority with 14% predicting a hung parliament with the Conservatives as the largest party. 30% said they felt a L...