Labour Ahead of SNP for First Time in a Decade Says YouGov

New polling out this week by YouGov has put Scottish Labour ahead of the SNP in Scotland for the first time since the independence referendum a decade ago.

According to the data, when it comes to voting intentions for the UK general election, 33% of those questioned in Scotland plan to vote Labour, two points ahead of the SNP on 31%.

It finds that among those who voted SNP at the 2019 election, 20% have now decided to vote Labour.

The Conservatives meanwhile are on 14% of the vote, holding on to just over a half (54%) of those who voted for them in Scotland in 2019. The Scottish Conservatives have lost 19% of their 2019 voters to Labour, and 22% to Reform UK.

In contrast to the changes in Westminster voting intentions, YouGov notes: “The story is static when it comes to Scottish independence. Currently 53% of Scots say they would vote No in a repeat of the 2014 referendum, compared to 47% who would vote Yes – this is the same split as it was the last time we asked in September 2023.”

Meanwhile, when it comes to voting intentions across the UK, YouGov reports that just 19% of people plan to vote Conservative, with 45% opting for Labour.  

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